AO Itabaiana vs Sport Recife: result 1-2 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on February 14, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Sport Recife?
Sport Recife won 1-2 on February 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 28′Matheus NascimentoAO Itabaiana
- 72′Lucas LimaSport Recife
- 84′Zé RobertoSport Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sport Recife have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | America-RN(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 7, 2024 | América SE(home) | 2-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CRB(home) | 0-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Atlético Gloriense(away) | 3-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Sergipe(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | Treze(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Central SC(home) | 4-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Flamengo Arcoverde(away) | 3-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Afogados(home) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Recife | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AO Itabaiana sit 5th in Copa do Nordeste (3 points from 5 matches) and Sport Recife sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Recife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | AO Itabaiana | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy