Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Kamaras, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Smirnis the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Egaleo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apollon Smirnis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Apollon Smirnis (1,686) and Egaleo (1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apollon Smirnis
4-3-3- 45P. Moraitis
- 27M. Cuadra
- 29S. Karim
- 64F. Andoni
- 80G. Moustakopoulos
- 10M. Pereira
- 5Domingues
- 4K. Tsamouris
- 33N. Korovesis
- 6V. Theocharis
- 1K. Kotsaris
Egaleo
Not enough data to predict the Egaleo lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Smirnis have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Egaleo have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Proodeftiki(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Diagoras(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Atromitos Piraeus(home) | 5-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Ethnikos Piraeus(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ellopiakos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ialysos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Apollon Kalyt.(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 3-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Panargiakos(away) | 2-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kissamikos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Apollon Smirnis wins, 2 draws, 0 Egaleo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Egaleo 0-0 Apollon Smirnis | Super League 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Apollon Smirnis 0-0 Egaleo | Super League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Egaleo vs Apollon Smirnis on May 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Smirnis score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Egaleo score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Egaleo | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Smirnis sit 2nd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (6 points from 2 matches) and Egaleo sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egaleo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Apollon Smirnis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
A question about Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Smirnis the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Egaleo.
- Where and when is Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo played?
- Apollon Smirnis vs Egaleo is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Kamaras, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.