Aprilia vs Ilvamaddalena: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone GGroup G · Matchday 7Kick-off on October 16, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Quinto Ricci, Aprilia
Full time
What was the result of Aprilia vs Ilvamaddalena?
Ilvamaddalena won 0-1 on October 16, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Ilvamaddalena
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aprilia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ilvamaddalena have 2, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2022 | Nola 1925(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 2, 2022 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Sorrento(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Portici(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Atletico Uri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2022 | Sorrento(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Portici(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 28, 2022 | USD Palmese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Angri Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Aprilia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ilvamaddalena score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aprilia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ilvamaddalena | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 5/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy