Aragua FC vs Gran Valencia: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónGroup B - 3Kick-off on November 2, 2020 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Puerto Cabello
Full time
What was the result of Aragua FC vs Gran Valencia?
Aragua FC and Gran Valencia drew 1-1 on November 2, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 21′Héctor Enrique Pérez RamírezAragua FC
- 24′J. InfanteGran Valencia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aragua FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gran Valencia have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2020 | Portuguesa FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Metropolitanos FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 6, 2020 | Caracas FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Deportivo Lara(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2020 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2020 | Caracas FC(home) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Portuguesa FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Monagas SC(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2020 | Mineros de Guyana(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Metropolitanos FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Aragua FC score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gran Valencia score 0.8 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragua FC | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gran Valencia | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy