Araguaia vs Luverdense: result 0-1 and analysis
Matogrossense1st Round - 4Kick-off on February 22, 2020 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Afonso de Melo, Alto Araguaia, Mato Grosso
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What was the result of Araguaia vs Luverdense?
Luverdense won 0-1 on February 22, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Araguaia have 1 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Luverdense have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-5 | Matogrossense |
| Feb 9, 2020 | União Rondonópolis(home) | 0-1 | Matogrossense |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Mixto(away) | 0-3 | Matogrossense |
| Jan 26, 2020 | CEOV Operário(home) | 1-2 | Matogrossense |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Sinop Fc(away) | 0-4 | Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | União Rondonópolis(home) | 2-2 | Matogrossense |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Poconé(away) | 1-4 | Matogrossense |
| Feb 5, 2020 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-1 | Matogrossense |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Nova Mutum EC(away) | 0-3 | Matogrossense |
How many goals should we expect?
Araguaia score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 11; Luverdense score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araguaia | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 5/11 | 8/11 |
| Luverdense | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy