Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, Armavir
The Footlab AI model makes Araks Ararat the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Sardarapat 2. The most likely score is 1-1. If Araks Ararat wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2?
On Elo ratings, Araks Ararat has 1,364 points and Sardarapat 2 1,309.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Araks Ararat
Not enough data to predict the Araks Ararat lineup.
Sardarapat 2
Not enough data to predict the Sardarapat 2 lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araks Ararat have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sardarapat 2 have 3, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Banants II(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mika(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mika(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Banants II(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mika(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(home) | 0-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Araks Ararat score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sardarapat 2 score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araks Ararat | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sardarapat 2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 4/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araks Ararat sit 6th in First League (19 points from 11 matches) and Sardarapat 2 sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Araks Ararat | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 19 |
| 10 | Sardarapat 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
A question about Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2?
- The Footlab AI model makes Araks Ararat the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Sardarapat 2.
- Where and when is Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2 played?
- Araks Ararat vs Sardarapat 2 is played on November 20, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.