Arambagh vs Fortis: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Mymensingh Stadium, Mymensingh
The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Arambagh. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arambagh vs Fortis?
Fortis is a heavy favourite: 1,499 Elo points against 1,172, a 327-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arambagh vs Fortis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arambagh
4-3-3- 7S. R. Khan
- 20M. Pradhan
- 11K. Kizito
- 14S. Joy Tanchangy
- 40A. Cishty
- 15Joy Kumar
- 2M. Rocky
- 5Mahamudul Kiron
- 4Mohammed Suleman
- 12N. Uddin
- 1A. Hossen
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arambagh have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fortis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 1-3 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Abahani(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arambagh wins, 1 draw, 2 Fortis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Fortis 0-0 Arambagh | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Arambagh 0-4 Fortis | Federation Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Arambagh 0-1 Fortis | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arambagh score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortis score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arambagh | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortis | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arambagh sit 9th in Premier League (14 points from 18 matches) and Fortis sit 3rd (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fortis | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Arambagh | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 14 |
A question about Arambagh vs Fortis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arambagh vs Fortis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Arambagh.
- Where and when is Arambagh vs Fortis played?
- Arambagh vs Fortis is played on December 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Mymensingh Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.