Match

Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

AranovaAtletico Lodigiani

The Footlab AI model makes Aranova the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Atletico Lodigiani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aranova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani?

On Elo ratings, Aranova has 1,703 points and Atletico Lodigiani 1,607.

59%24%17%
Aranova winDrawAtletico Lodigiani win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aranova

Not enough data to predict the Aranova lineup.

Atletico Lodigiani

Not enough data to predict the Atletico Lodigiani lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Aranova have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Lodigiani have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aranova
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Unipomezia(away)4-3Serie D - Girone G
Oct 11, 2026Trastevere(home)2-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Latte Dolce(home)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Monastir(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Atletico Lodigiani
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Afragolese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone G
Oct 11, 2026Sarnese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Unipomezia(away)1-3Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Trastevere(home)2-3Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(away)0-1Serie D - Girone G

How many goals should we expect?

Aranova score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Atletico Lodigiani score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aranova1.51.335/84/8
Atletico Lodigiani0.91.836/156/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aranova sit 11th in Serie D - Girone G (9 points from 7 matches) and Atletico Lodigiani sit 18th (1 point from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Aranova7232879
18Atletico Lodigiani80178221

A question about Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani?
The Footlab AI model makes Aranova the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Atletico Lodigiani.
Where and when is Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani played?
Aranova vs Atletico Lodigiani is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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