Arar vs Al Baten: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah Bin Masaad Sport City Stadium, Arar
The Footlab AI model makes Al Baten the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Arar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Baten wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arar vs Al Baten?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Arar (1,449) and Al Baten (1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arar vs Al Baten
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arar
Not enough data to predict the Arar lineup.
Al Baten
4-3-3- 15Abdulrahman Saad
- 77Yousef Fawaz
- 23A. Diaby
- 8Abdulkarim Al Qahtani
- 10Y. M'Changama
- 97Mishari Al Qahtani
- 3S. Falette
- 27R. Hawsawi
- 4Khalid Al Khathlan
- 2S. Baryan
- 1Mohammed Al Shammari Falah
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Al Baten have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Mudhar Club(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Al Gottah(away) | 4-6 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Nairyah(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Safa(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Qwarah(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 0-4 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Taee(home) | 4-1 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Abha(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arar score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Baten score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arar | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Baten | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Baten | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Arar vs Al Baten?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arar vs Al Baten?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Baten the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Arar.
- Where and when is Arar vs Al Baten played?
- Arar vs Al Baten is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah Bin Masaad Sport City Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.