Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Ararat-Armenia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ararat-Armenia (1,868) and FC Noah (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC Noah have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Van(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ararat-Armenia win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Noah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 0-4 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | FC Noah 0-0 Ararat-Armenia | Cup |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 0-1 FC Noah | Cup |
| Mar 12, 2026 | FC Noah 1-1 Ararat-Armenia | Super Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | FC Noah 1-2 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 2-2 FC Noah | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat-Armenia score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat-Armenia sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Noah sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Ararat-Armenia.
- Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah played?
- Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah is played on May 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.