Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova played?

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan

Ararat-Armenia

Universitatea Craiova

The Footlab model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Universitatea Craiova. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Ararat-Armenia (1,868) and Universitatea Craiova (1,914).

Ararat-Armenia win42 %

Draw27 %

Universitatea Craiova win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ararat-Armenia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Van(home)	2-0	Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Celje(away)	0-2	UEFA Champions League
Aug 7, 2026	FC Urartu(home)	2-1	Premier League
Aug 4, 2026	Celje(home)	2-1	UEFA Champions League
Aug 1, 2026	Gandzasar(away)	4-3	Premier League

Universitatea Craiova
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Oţelul(away)	1-1	Liga I
Aug 13, 2026	KuPS(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Arges Pitesti(home)	0-1	Liga I
Aug 6, 2026	KuPS(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Petrolul Ploiesti(home)	4-0	Liga I

How many goals should we expect?

Ararat-Armenia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ararat-Armenia	1.6	1.2	7	6/15	7/15
Universitatea Craiova	1.7	1.2	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?: The Footlab model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Universitatea Craiova.
Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova played?: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.