Araz vs Karvan: result 3-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 12, 2013 at 11:00 AM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
Full time
What was the result of Araz vs Karvan?
Araz won 3-1 on October 12, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Araz have 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Karvan have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2013 | Göyəzən(away) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Imisli FK(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Şəmkir(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Turan(away) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Şəmkir(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Turan(away) | 1-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Neftçala(away) | 0-7 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 12, 2012 | MOIK(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 4; Karvan score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 2.3 | 0.5 | 2 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Karvan | 1.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy