Araz vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 16, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
Full time
What was the result of Araz vs Neftchi Baku?
Araz won 1-0 on September 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 81′O. ƏliyevAraz (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Kapaz(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Qarabag(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Turan(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Beşiktaş(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Səbail(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 2 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy