Araz vs Neftchi Baku: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 17, 2015 at 12:00 AM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2014 | Mingəçevir(home) | 9-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 7, 2014 | Imisli FK(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 2, 2014 | Şəmkir(away) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Karvan(away) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Göyəzən(home) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Mar 8, 2015 | İnter Bakı(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2015 | Şüvəlan(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Feb 28, 2015 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 24, 2015 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 2.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 2.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 2 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy