Araz vs Qarabag: result 1-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 2, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
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What was the result of Araz vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-4 on August 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′R. XhixhaQarabag
- 9′R. AlmeydaQarabag
- 47′H. KeytaQarabag
- 86′Nuno RodriguesAraz
- 88′A. HüseynovQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Qarabag have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2024 | Qarabag(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 19, 2024 | Qabala(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 11, 2024 | Turan(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 5, 2024 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Zira(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 16, 2024 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2024 | Plzen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2024 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Araz win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2024 | Araz 2-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Qarabag 3-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Araz 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Qarabag 2-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy