Araz vs Qarabag: result 1-0 and analysis
CupSemi-finalsKick-off on April 2, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
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What was the result of Araz vs Qarabag?
Araz won 1-0 on April 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′Felipe SantosAraz (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Qarabag(home) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Turan(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kapaz(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Araz(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Səbail(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Araz win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Araz 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Qarabag 2-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Araz 1-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 26, 2024 | Araz 2-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Qarabag 3-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Araz 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy