Araz vs Qaradağ Lökbatan: result 1-0 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 22, 2013 at 10:00 AM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
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What was the result of Araz vs Qaradağ Lökbatan?
Araz won 1-0 on December 22, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Qaradağ Lökbatan have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2013 | Neftçala(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Ağsu(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Simurq(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2013 | Mingəçevir(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Şuşa(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | Şəmkir(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Rəvan(home) | 2-5 | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Imisli FK(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Neftçala(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qaradağ Lökbatan score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 2.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Qaradağ Lökbatan | 2.1 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy