Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts: result 3-2 and analysis
League CupGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on July 24, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts?
Arbroath won 3-2 on July 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 20′K. HigginbothamKelty Hearts
- 27′J. CardleKelty Hearts
- 31′L. DonnellyArbroath
- 52′C. HamiltonArbroath
- 58′Nicholas LowArbroath (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2021 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 14, 2021 | East Fife(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Elgin City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Livingston(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2021 | Elgin City(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 17, 2021 | East Fife(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 9, 2021 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Montrose(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Partick(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 2.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 2.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy