Ards vs Larne: result 3-5 and analysis
League CupRound of 16Kick-off on November 7, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
Full time
What was the result of Ards vs Larne?
Larne won 3-5 on November 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′C. DouganArds
- 20′S. GrahamLarne
- 45′A. RyanLarne
- 49′R. HunterArds
- 73′P. O'NeillLarne
- 76′C. MaxwellArds
- 101′L. BonisLarne
- 117′P. O'NeillLarne
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Larne have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Dergview(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 3-6 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Annagh United(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Institute(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Newry City AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ards win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Larne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | Larne 7-2 Ards | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Larne score 2.4 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Larne | 2.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy