Argentina vs Ecuador: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 9, 2020 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Argentina vs Ecuador?
Argentina won 1-0 on October 9, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. MessiArgentina (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ecuador have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2019 | Uruguay(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Brazil(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Ecuador(away) | 6-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Germany(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Mexico(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2019 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Argentina(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Bolivia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Peru(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Argentina win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ecuador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Ecuador 1-6 Argentina | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Ecuador 1-3 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2015 | Argentina 0-2 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentina sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification South America (38 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy