Argentina vs Uruguay: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Argentina the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Uruguay. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Argentina vs Uruguay?
Argentina starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Argentina vs Uruguay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Argentina
4-4-2- 9J. Álvarez
- 22Lautaro Martínez
- 20A. Mac Allister
- 8E. Fernández
- 18N. Paz
- 7R. De Paul
- 13C. Romero
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 3N. Tagliafico
- 19N. Otamendi
- 23E. Martínez
Uruguay
4-4-2- 9D. Núñez
- 21F. Viñas
- 20M. Araújo
- 6R. Bentancur
- 18B. Rodríguez
- 14L. Torreira
- 22J. Piquerez
- 8N. Nández
- 16M. Olivera
- 4R. Araújo
- 12T. Cardozo
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Uruguay have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Benin(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bolivia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 15, 2026 | England(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | India(away) | 6-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | South Korea(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Japan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Argentina wins, 1 draw, 1 Uruguay win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Uruguay 0-1 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Argentina 0-2 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Uruguay 0-1 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Argentina 3-0 Uruguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Argentina 1-0 Uruguay | Copa America |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Argentina 2-2 Uruguay | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 3.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Uruguay score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 3.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Uruguay | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Argentina vs Uruguay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Argentina vs Uruguay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Argentina the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Uruguay.
- Where and when is Argentina vs Uruguay played?
- Argentina vs Uruguay is played on November 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.