Aris Filiates vs Atromitos Patras: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, Filiates
The Footlab model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atromitos Patras. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris Filiates vs Atromitos Patras?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Aris Filiates (1,550) and Atromitos Patras (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris Filiates have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atromitos Patras have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lamia(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2020 | Missolonghi(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Atalanti(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris Filiates score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atromitos Patras score 0.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Filiates | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Atromitos Patras | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris Filiates vs Atromitos Patras?
- The Footlab model makes Aris Filiates the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atromitos Patras.
- Where and when is Aris Filiates vs Atromitos Patras played?
- Aris Filiates vs Atromitos Patras is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Filiaton, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.