Aris vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris vs Apollon Limassol?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Aris (1,912) and Apollon Limassol (1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aris win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 3-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aris 3-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 0-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aris 3-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 2-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Aris 2-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Aris on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris sit 6th in 1. Division (51 points from 36 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aris.
- Where and when is Aris vs Apollon Limassol played?
- Aris vs Apollon Limassol is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.