Aris vs Neftchi Baku: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 21, 2022 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Full time
What was the result of Aris vs Neftchi Baku?
Aris won 2-0 on July 21, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 53′CajuAris
- 66′Y. GomisAris
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2022 | Dnipro-1(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Fehérvár FC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2022 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2022 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2022 | Qarabag(away) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2022 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 9, 2022 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy