Arles vs Caen: result 3-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2010 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Sports, Avignon
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What was the result of Arles vs Caen?
Arles won 3-2 on November 6, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 10′Y. El-ArabiCaen
- 24′Gaël GermanyArles
- 33′Kaba DiawaraArles
- 66′K. TraoréCaen
- 76′Kaba DiawaraArles (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Arles have 0 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caen have 3, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2010 | Lorient(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2010 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Auxerre(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 25, 2010 | Montpellier(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2010 | Nancy(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2010 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2010 | Monaco(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 25, 2010 | Bordeaux(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arles score 0.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 11; Caen score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arles | 0.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 4/11 | 6/11 |
| Caen | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy