Arles vs Le Havre: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Sports, Avignon
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What was the result of Arles vs Le Havre?
Arles won 1-0 on August 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 55′L. PieroniArles
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arles have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Le Havre have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2011 | Reims(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Nantes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2011 | Metz(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Le Mans(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 22, 2011 | Le Mans(away) | 0-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2011 | Bastia(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Amiens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Amiens(away) | 1-2 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 5, 2011 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Angers(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arles score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arles | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy