Arles vs Marignane US: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 14, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arles have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Marignane US have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Martigues(home) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Monaco II(away) | 1-5 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2015 | PAU(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2015 | Nice II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Hyères(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Stade Montois(away) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Le Pontet US(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Tarbes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Aviron Bayonnais(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Toulon Le Las(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Arles score 0.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marignane US score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arles | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Marignane US | 1.1 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy