Arnedo vs Náxara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
The Footlab AI model makes Arnedo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Náxara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arnedo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnedo vs Náxara?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Arnedo (1,791) and Náxara (1,784).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arnedo vs Náxara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arnedo
Not enough data to predict the Arnedo lineup.
Náxara
Not enough data to predict the Náxara lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnedo have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Náxara have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olot(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Arnedo wins, 0 draws, 2 Náxara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Náxara 4-0 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Arnedo 0-2 Náxara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Náxara 1-2 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Arnedo 3-1 Náxara | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arnedo score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Náxara score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnedo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Náxara | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arnedo sit 18th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (0 points from 5 matches) and Náxara sit 17th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Náxara | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Arnedo vs Náxara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnedo vs Náxara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arnedo the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Náxara.
- Where and when is Arnedo vs Náxara played?
- Arnedo vs Náxara is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sendero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.