Arosa vs Noia: result 5-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
Full time
What was the result of Arosa vs Noia?
Arosa won 5-2 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′612275Noia
- 28′612276Noia
- 57′Gabri PalmásArosa
- 58′Antón ConcheiroArosa
- 78′565956Arosa
- 90′581413Arosa
- 90′Gabri PalmásArosa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Noia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Villalbés(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Barbadás(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Alondras(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | CD Lugo B(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Viveiro(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Villalbés(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Barbadás(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Alondras(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arosa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Noia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Noia 0-0 Arosa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Arosa 0-2 Noia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Noia score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Noia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arosa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (70 points from 34 matches) and Noia sit 17th (25 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 70 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28 | 57 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy