Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21 played?

Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21 is played on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Colney Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Arsenal U21

Manchester City U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Manchester City U21 starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,770).

Arsenal U21 win22 %

Draw21 %

Manchester City U21 win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester City U21 have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Barnet(away)	1-5	EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026	Manchester City U21(away)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(away)	0-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	1-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Manchester City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	4-0	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 19, 2026	Mansfield Town(away)	4-1	EFL Trophy
May 8, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	3-4	Premier League 2 Division One
May 1, 2026	Aston Villa U21(away)	3-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026	Arsenal U21(home)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Arsenal U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Manchester City U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Manchester City U21 3-1 Arsenal U21	Premier League 2 Division One
May 3, 2025	Manchester City U21 3-2 Arsenal U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Nov 3, 2023	Arsenal U21 3-3 Manchester City U21	Premier League 2 Division One
May 6, 2023	Arsenal U21 0-3 Manchester City U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 7, 2023	Manchester City U21 6-0 Arsenal U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester City U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City U21 score 3.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal U21	1.2	2.0	5	7/15	8/15
Manchester City U21	3.4	0.9	7	7/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal U21 sit 12th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Manchester City U21 sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Manchester City U21	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
12	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21?: The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Arsenal U21.
Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21 played?: Arsenal U21 vs Manchester City U21 is played on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.