Match

Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Colney Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Arsenal U21Sunderland U21

The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Arsenal U21 (1,780) and Sunderland U21 (1,847).

Arsenal U21 win37 %
Draw24 %
Sunderland U21 win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sunderland U21 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Crystal Palace U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Barnet(away)1-5EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026Manchester City U21(away)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Sunderland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Jong PSV U21(home)1-1Premier League International Cup
May 14, 2026Burnley U21(home)1-2Premier League Cup
Apr 26, 2026Manchester United U21(away)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 15, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-2Premier League Cup
Apr 6, 2026Derby County U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arsenal U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sunderland U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2026Sunderland U21 3-1 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 16, 2024Arsenal U21 1-2 Sunderland U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 18, 2023Sunderland U21 1-2 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Mar 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arsenal U211.22.057/158/15
Sunderland U212.41.6212/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Arsenal U211010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21?
The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Arsenal U21.
Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21 played?
Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21 is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arsenal U21 and Sunderland U21

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