Arsenal vs Swansea: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 16, 2013 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs Swansea?
Arsenal won 1-0 on January 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 86′Jack WilshereArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Swansea have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2013 | Manchester City(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2013 | Swansea(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Southampton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Newcastle(home) | 7-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2012 | Wigan(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2013 | Everton(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 9, 2013 | Chelsea(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jan 6, 2013 | Arsenal(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Arsenal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Swansea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2013 | Swansea 2-2 Arsenal | FA Cup |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Arsenal 0-2 Swansea | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Swansea 3-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Arsenal 1-0 Swansea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy