Arsenal W vs Lyon W: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions League WomenMatchday 5Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal W the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Lyon W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,813 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Lyon W?
On Elo ratings, Arsenal W has 2,388 points and Lyon W 2,499.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal W vs Lyon W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal W
4-2-3-1- 23A. Russo
- 4G. Stanway
- 9C. Foord
- 19L. Baum
- 10K. Little
- 12F. Maanum
- 7S. Catley
- 6L. Williamson
- 2E. Fox
- 22Ona Batlle
- 28A. Borbe
Lyon W
Not enough data to predict the Lyon W lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal W have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lyon W have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Barcelona W(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Liverpool W(away) | 2-1 | FA WSL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Aston Villa W(home) | 1-1 | FA WSL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | SL Benfica W(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(away) | 2-1 | FA WSL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Juventus W(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lens W(away) | 7-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Montpellier W(away) | 5-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Inter Milano W(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Marseille W(home) | 5-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal W wins, 0 draws, 4 Lyon W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Lyon W 3-1 Arsenal W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arsenal W 2-1 Lyon W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Arsenal W 1-2 Lyon W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lyon W 1-4 Arsenal W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arsenal W 1-2 Lyon W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Dec 15, 2022 | Arsenal W 0-1 Lyon W | UEFA Champions League Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal W score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon W score 5.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal W | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lyon W | 5.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal W sit 4th in UEFA Champions League Women (8 points from 4 matches) and Lyon W sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Arsenal W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Arsenal W vs Lyon W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal W vs Lyon W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal W the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Lyon W.
- Where and when is Arsenal W vs Lyon W played?
- Arsenal W vs Lyon W is played on November 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the UEFA Champions League Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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