Aruba vs Montserrat: result 0-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations League - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 17, 2018 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Full time
What was the result of Aruba vs Montserrat?
Montserrat won 0-2 on November 17, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 36′Spencer Weir-DaleyMontserrat
- 51′B. Woods-GarnessMontserrat
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Aruba have 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Montserrat have 3, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2018 | Guadeloupe(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Bermuda(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2016 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 0-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Mar 23, 2016 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 1-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Sep 9, 2015 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2018 | Belize(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Sep 8, 2018 | El Salvador(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2015 | Curaçao(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 28, 2015 | Curaçao(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Bonaire(home) | 0-0 | Caribbean Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aruba score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Montserrat score 1.2 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aruba | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/14 | 8/14 |
| Montserrat | 1.2 | 2.8 | 4 | 4/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy