Match

AS Penarol vs Nathaly's: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 7Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

AS PenarolNathaly's

The Footlab AI model makes AS Penarol the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Nathaly's. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Penarol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Penarol vs Nathaly's?

AS Penarol starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,455 vs 1,315).

38%31%31%
AS Penarol winDrawNathaly's win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Penarol vs Nathaly's

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Penarol

Not enough data to predict the AS Penarol lineup.

Nathaly's

Not enough data to predict the Nathaly's lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, AS Penarol have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Nathaly's have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Penarol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2025Otôho d'Oyo(away)0-5Ligue 1
Mar 16, 2025JS Talangaï(home)1-3Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2025Inter Club(away)0-3Ligue 1
Mar 7, 2025Racine(away)0-0Ligue 1
Mar 2, 2025Jeunesse Unie de Kintélé(home)3-1Ligue 1
Nathaly's
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2025Nico-Nicoyé(home)1-1Ligue 1
Mar 8, 2025Inter Club Pointe Noire(away)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 2, 2025Club Des Jeunes(home)5-0Ligue 1
Feb 22, 2025ACJM de Pointe-Noire(away)0-0Ligue 1
Feb 9, 2025St-Michel Madingou(home)1-1Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

AS Penarol score 0.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 7; Nathaly's score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Penarol0.72.613/76/7
Nathaly's0.81.544/156/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Nathaly's82331099

A question about AS Penarol vs Nathaly's?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Penarol vs Nathaly's?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Penarol the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Nathaly's.
Where and when is AS Penarol vs Nathaly's played?
AS Penarol vs Nathaly's is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: AS Penarol and Nathaly's