Match

AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou: prediction and stats

Championnat NationalRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, Avrankou

AS SobemapAS Cotonou

The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for AS Cotonou. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate AS Sobemap (1,818) and AS Cotonou (1,740).

AS Sobemap win45 %
Draw34 %
AS Cotonou win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Sobemap have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AS Cotonou have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Sobemap
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Bani Gansè(away)0-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026AS Cotonou(home)1-0Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026Dadjè(home)2-1Championnat National
May 30, 2026Loto Popo(away)1-0Championnat National
May 23, 2026Buffles(home)1-0Championnat National
AS Cotonou
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Espoir Savalou(home)1-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026AS Sobemap(away)0-1Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026Coton Sport Ouidah(home)0-1Championnat National
May 30, 2026Dadjè(away)1-1Championnat National
May 22, 2026ASVO(home)0-1Championnat National

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AS Sobemap win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AS Cotonou win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026AS Sobemap 1-0 AS CotonouChampionnat National
Feb 1, 2026AS Cotonou 1-0 AS SobemapChampionnat National
Mar 15, 2025AS Sobemap 2-2 AS CotonouChampionnat National
Oct 26, 2024AS Cotonou 0-2 AS SobemapChampionnat National
May 22, 2024AS Sobemap 2-1 AS CotonouChampionnat National
Mar 13, 2024AS Cotonou 0-1 AS SobemapChampionnat National

Last archived meeting: AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Sobemap score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; AS Cotonou score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Sobemap0.70.5102/153/15
AS Cotonou0.60.935/150/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Sobemap sit 1st in Championnat National (67 points from 33 matches) and AS Cotonou sit 8th (46 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AS Sobemap332076331867
8AS Cotonou3311139241946

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou?
The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for AS Cotonou.
Where and when is AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou played?
AS Sobemap vs AS Cotonou is played on January 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, in the Championnat National.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Sobemap and AS Cotonou

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