Match

AS Sobemap vs Coton Sport Ouidah: prediction and stats

Championnat NationalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, Avrankou

AS SobemapCoton Sport Ouidah

The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Coton Sport Ouidah. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Sobemap vs Coton Sport Ouidah?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate AS Sobemap (1,818) and Coton Sport Ouidah (1,843).

AS Sobemap win37 %
Draw33 %
Coton Sport Ouidah win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Sobemap have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Coton Sport Ouidah have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Sobemap
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Bani Gansè(away)0-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026AS Cotonou(home)1-0Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026Dadjè(home)2-1Championnat National
May 30, 2026Loto Popo(away)1-0Championnat National
May 23, 2026Buffles(home)1-0Championnat National
Coton Sport Ouidah
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Loto Popo(home)1-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026Dynamo Abomey(away)1-2Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026AS Cotonou(away)1-0Championnat National
May 30, 2026Dragons(home)3-1Championnat National
May 23, 2026Bani Gansè(away)0-1Championnat National

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AS Sobemap win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Coton Sport Ouidah win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Coton Sport Ouidah 0-1 AS SobemapChampionnat National
Nov 29, 2025AS Sobemap 1-0 Coton Sport OuidahChampionnat National
Mar 2, 2025AS Sobemap 0-0 Coton Sport OuidahChampionnat National
Oct 16, 2024Coton Sport Ouidah 1-2 AS SobemapChampionnat National
May 18, 2024AS Sobemap 0-1 Coton Sport OuidahChampionnat National
Mar 17, 2024Coton Sport Ouidah 1-0 AS SobemapChampionnat National

Last archived meeting: Coton Sport Ouidah vs AS Sobemap on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Sobemap score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coton Sport Ouidah score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Sobemap0.70.5102/153/15
Coton Sport Ouidah1.10.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Sobemap sit 1st in Championnat National (67 points from 33 matches) and Coton Sport Ouidah sit 2nd (61 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AS Sobemap332076331867
2Coton Sport Ouidah3317106402161

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Sobemap vs Coton Sport Ouidah?
The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Coton Sport Ouidah.
Where and when is AS Sobemap vs Coton Sport Ouidah played?
AS Sobemap vs Coton Sport Ouidah is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, in the Championnat National.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Sobemap and Coton Sport Ouidah

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