ASA Targu Mures vs Dumbrăviţa: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş
The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Dumbrăviţa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Dumbrăviţa?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate ASA Targu Mures (1,528) and Dumbrăviţa (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Targu Mures have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dumbrăviţa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 ASA Targu Mures win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dumbrăviţa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dumbrăviţa 2-3 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: Dumbrăviţa vs ASA Targu Mures on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbrăviţa score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dumbrăviţa | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Targu Mures sit 14th in Liga II (4 points from 4 matches) and Dumbrăviţa sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Dumbrăviţa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Targu Mures vs Dumbrăviţa?
- The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Dumbrăviţa.
- Where and when is ASA Targu Mures vs Dumbrăviţa played?
- ASA Targu Mures vs Dumbrăviţa is played on March 13, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Trans-Sil, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027AFC HermannstadtvsFC Bacau
- Mar 13, 2027ConcordiavsCSM Reşiţa
- Mar 13, 2027Chindia TargovistevsGloria Bistriţa
- Mar 13, 2027CS AfumativsSlatina
- Mar 13, 2027Metalul BuzăuvsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Mar 13, 2027Popești-LeordenivsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Mar 13, 2027Unirea SloboziavsCetatea Suceava
- Mar 13, 2027Viitorul ŞelimbărvsBihor Oradea