ASA vs Guarani Campinas: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 11, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Guarani Campinas?
ASA won 1-0 on August 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′Lucio MaranhãoASA
Official lineup for ASA vs Guarani Campinas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
ASA
- JJose Roberto Nascimento Viana
- LLucio Maranhão
- LLucas Rodrigues Martins
- DDidira
- JJosé Carlos de Magalhaes Paulino
- JJose Audálio Silva Santos
- FFrancisco Fabiano Pereira Marciano
- FFrancisco Gomes Andrade Júnior
- EEdson Moreira dos Santos
- GGabriel Paulino Silva
- GGilson Rodrigo França Fonseca
Guarani Campinas
- CCleber Schwenck Tiene
- AAdemir Burato
- JJackson Mauricio Silva Feitosa
- KKleiton Domingues Barbosa
- WWilliams
- RRodrigo Antônio Magalhães Alves Pereira
- AAndré Augusto Leone
- FFrancisco Cezar Barbosa Gonzaga
- FFábio Bahia
- AAlex da Silva Barros
- EEmerson José da Conceição
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2012 | Goias(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Goias(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy