ASA vs Guarani Campinas: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 11, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Guarani Campinas?
ASA won 1-0 on August 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′Lucio MaranhãoASA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2012 | Goias(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Goias(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy