ASA vs Guaratinguetá: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 12, 2013 at 11:50 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Guaratinguetá?
ASA won 2-1 on November 12, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 8′Lucio MaranhãoASA
- 31′Elionar Nascimento RiberioASA
- 85′Murilo Bedusco dos SantosGuaratinguetá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | Avai(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2013 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2013 | Oeste(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2013 | America-RN(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2013 | BOA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2013 | ABC(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2013 | Oeste(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 ASA win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Guaratinguetá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2013 | Guaratinguetá 2-1 ASA | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2012 | ASA 3-1 Guaratinguetá | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Guaratinguetá 2-1 ASA | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy