ASA vs Guaratinguetá: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 10, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Guaratinguetá?
ASA won 3-1 on October 10, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 43′Francisco Gomes Andrade JúniorASA
- 49′DidiraASA
- 85′Igor Nascimento SoaresGuaratinguetá
- 90′Francisco Gomes Andrade JúniorASA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2012 | Avai(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2012 | ABC(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Joinville(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Goias(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2012 | Avai(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Parana(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ASA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guaratinguetá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2012 | Guaratinguetá 2-1 ASA | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy