ASA vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 11, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Joinville?
ASA won 1-0 on September 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 90′Lucio MaranhãoASA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Joinville have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2012 | BOA(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2012 | São Caetano(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 25, 2012 | CRB(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Avai(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 1, 2012 | ABC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ASA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Joinville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2012 | Joinville 1-0 ASA | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Joinville | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy