Ascot United vs Pagham: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round QualifyingKick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ascot Racecourse, Ascot, Berkshire
Full time
What was the result of Ascot United vs Pagham?
Ascot United and Pagham drew 1-1 on September 6, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascot United have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pagham have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Margate(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Metropolitan Police(home) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Raynes Park Vale(away) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Horndean(home) | 5-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hartley Wintney(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Horsham YMCA(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Erith Town(away) | 2-6 | FA Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | East Grinstead Town(home) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Erith Town(home) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Steyning Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ascot United score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pagham score 1.4 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot United | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Pagham | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ascot United vs Pagham?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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