Aşgabat vs Ahal: result 1-2 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 3, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-2 on October 3, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ahal have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Arkadag(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Merw(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Şagadam(away) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Arkadag(away) | 1-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Merw(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Aşgabat(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aşgabat win, 0 draws, 5 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal 3-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ahal 2-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat 0-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Ahal 0-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy