Aşgabat vs Ahal: result 1-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Ahal?
Aşgabat and Ahal drew 1-1 on October 4, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Ahal have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Merw(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Al Hussein(home) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Merw(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aşgabat win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Aşgabat 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal 3-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (24 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 6 | Aşgabat | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 57 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy