Ashford United vs AFC Sudbury: result 3-3 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on September 13, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Homelands, Ashford, Kent
Full time
What was the result of Ashford United vs AFC Sudbury?
Ashford United and AFC Sudbury drew 3-3 on September 13, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashford United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Sudbury have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2022 | Sevenoaks Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Faversham Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Aug 27, 2022 | East Grinstead Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Sutton Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2022 | Bury Town(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Bury Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Gorleston(home) | 5-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Aug 23, 2022 | Stowmarket Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Stowmarket Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashford United score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Sudbury score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashford United | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Sudbury | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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