Match

Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W: prediction and stats

FA WSLRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham

Aston Villa WLiverpool W

The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool W the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Aston Villa W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W?

On Elo ratings, Aston Villa W has 2,031 points and Liverpool W 2,116.

23%22%55%
Aston Villa W winDrawLiverpool W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aston Villa W

3-4-2-1
  1. 20A. Vangsgaard
  1. 16N. Maritz
  2. 14L. Wilms
  3. 25M. Taylor
  4. 13M. Hijikata
  5. 15L. Parker
  6. 5J. Kielland
  1. 4A. Patten
  2. 3M. Harviken
  3. 24O. Deslandes
  1. 23Akane Okuma

Liverpool W

4-1-4-1
  1. 11B. Olsson
  1. 8F. Nagano
  2. 6Natalia Ramos
  3. 7C. Kapocs
  4. 25A. Bergström
  5. 19K. MacLean
  1. 29Alejandra Bernabé de Santiago
  2. 24S. Kerr
  3. 4G. Fisk
  4. 17J. Clark
  1. 12K. Keating

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa W have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Liverpool W have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Crystal Palace W(home)1-1FA WSL
Sep 30, 2026Newcastle United W(home)3-1WSL Cup
Sep 27, 2026Tottenham Hotspur W(away)0-4FA WSL
Sep 23, 2026Nottingham Forest W(away)2-0WSL Cup
Sep 20, 2026Brighton W(away)1-1FA WSL
Liverpool W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Manchester United W(away)0-1FA WSL
Sep 30, 2026Birmingham City W(away)4-3WSL Cup
Sep 27, 2026Everton W(home)2-0FA WSL
Sep 23, 2026Sunderland W(home)4-2WSL Cup
Sep 18, 2026Manchester City W(away)2-4FA WSL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aston Villa W wins, 0 draws, 4 Liverpool W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Liverpool W 4-1 Aston Villa WFA WSL
Dec 11, 2025Aston Villa W 3-0 Liverpool WFA WSL
Mar 30, 2025Liverpool W 1-2 Aston Villa WFA WSL
Nov 3, 2024Aston Villa W 1-2 Liverpool WFA WSL
Mar 3, 2024Aston Villa W 1-4 Liverpool WFA WSL
Oct 8, 2023Liverpool W 2-0 Aston Villa WFA WSL

Last archived meeting: Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa W score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool W score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aston Villa W1.32.3210/159/15
Liverpool W1.71.457/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aston Villa W sit 12th in FA WSL (3 points from 5 matches) and Liverpool W sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Liverpool W5212967
12Aston Villa W50324113

A question about Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W?
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool W the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Aston Villa W.
Where and when is Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W played?
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the FA WSL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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