Athletic Club vs Aparecidense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 20, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Aparecidense?
Athletic Club won 1-0 on May 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 54′JonathasAthletic Club
Official lineup for Athletic Club vs Aparecidense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Athletic Club
- JJonathas
- DDjalma
- DDiego Fumaça
- GGeovane
- DDavid Francisco
- PP. Villero
- YYuri
- DDanilo Cardoso
- EEdson
- YYnaiã
- GGlauco
Aparecidense
- DDudu
- CCauari
- EEzequiel
- RRobert
- GGuilherme Nunes
- GGenilson
- LLuan Sales
- VVanderley
- DDa Silva
- EEmanuel Pereira
- PPedro Henrique
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Aparecidense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | CSA(away) | 5-0 | Serie C |
| May 5, 2024 | ABC(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Remo(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Caxias(away) | 4-0 | Serie C |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Pouso Alegre(home) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2024 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 5, 2024 | Figueirense(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Ferroviario(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aparecidense score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 2.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Aparecidense | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy