Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 30, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC?
Athletic Club won 1-0 on May 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 55′Ian LuccasAthletic Club
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 12, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 2-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 9, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 4, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 23, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| May 21, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 17, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| May 14, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 9th in Serie B (34 points from 24 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 5th (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy