Athletic Club vs Itabirito: result 2-1 and analysis
Mineiro - 11st Phase - 8Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Itabirito?
Athletic Club won 2-1 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′JonathasAthletic Club
- 22′JonathasAthletic Club (pen.)
- 45′Da SilvaItabirito
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Itabirito have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Uberlandia(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Pouso Alegre(home) | 4-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Villa Nova(away) | 4-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | CAP(home) | 2-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Uberlandia(away) | 2-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Pouso Alegre(away) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Itabirito score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Itabirito | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 3rd in Mineiro - 1 (7 points from 8 matches) and Itabirito sit 4th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Athletic Club | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 4 | Itabirito | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy